NFL Week 9

Our current read is OVER 51.5. The Pick Club projects 51.9 combined points, 0.4 points above the market line. Our estimated chance is 51.3% versus 49.8% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +1.5%. Expected value is -1.2%.

The current number is Dallas Cowboys -5.5, while our projection has Dallas Cowboys by 4.3. That gives Indianapolis Colts a 1.2-point difference against the spread. We like Indianapolis Colts getting the points.

Our current read is OVER 50.5. The Pick Club projects 50.5 combined points, 0.0 points above the market line. Our estimated chance is 50.1% versus 48.9% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +1.2%. Expected value is -2.2%.

The current number is Detroit Lions -6.5, while our projection has Detroit Lions by 4.7. That gives Miami Dolphins a 1.8-point difference against the spread. We like Miami Dolphins getting the points.

Our current read is UNDER 44.5. The Pick Club projects 43.6 combined points, 0.9 points below the market line. Our estimated chance is 52.8% versus 50.2% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +2.6%. Expected value is +0.8%.

The current number is Denver Broncos -2.5, while our projection has Denver Broncos by 0.3. That gives Carolina Panthers a 2.2-point difference against the spread. We like Carolina Panthers getting the points.

Our current read is UNDER 42.5. The Pick Club projects 42.0 combined points, 0.5 points below the market line. Our estimated chance is 51.6% versus 49.8% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +1.8%. Expected value is -0.7%.

The current number is New Orleans Saints -3.0, while our projection has New Orleans Saints by 2.4. That gives Cleveland Browns a 0.6-point difference against the spread. We like Cleveland Browns getting the points.

Our current read is OVER 38.5. The Pick Club projects 38.8 combined points, 0.3 points above the market line. Our estimated chance is 51.0% versus 50.2% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +0.8%. Expected value is -2.6%.

The current number is Philadelphia Eagles +3.5, while our projection has New York Giants by 5.2. That gives New York Giants a 1.7-point difference against the spread. We like New York Giants to cover.

Our current read is UNDER 47.5. The Pick Club projects 47.5 combined points, 0.0 points above the market line. Our estimated chance is 49.9% versus 48.9% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +1.0%. Expected value is -2.6%.

The current number is Kansas City Chiefs -9.5, while our projection has Kansas City Chiefs by 5.3. That gives New York Jets a 4.2-point difference against the spread. We like New York Jets getting the points.

Our current read is OVER 52.0. The Pick Club projects 52.3 combined points, 0.3 points above the market line. Our estimated chance is 51.0% versus 49.8% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +1.2%. Expected value is -1.8%.

The current number is Las Vegas Raiders +9.5, while our projection has San Francisco 49ers by 10.4. That gives San Francisco 49ers a 0.9-point difference against the spread. We like San Francisco 49ers to cover.

Our current read is UNDER 40.5. The Pick Club projects 40.2 combined points, 0.3 points below the market line. Our estimated chance is 50.9% versus 48.9% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +2.0%. Expected value is -0.7%.

The current number is Los Angeles Chargers +5.5, while our projection has Houston Texans by 5.6. That gives Houston Texans a 0.1-point difference against the spread. We like Houston Texans to cover.

Our current read is UNDER 44.5. The Pick Club projects 43.8 combined points, 0.7 points below the market line. Our estimated chance is 52.2% versus 48.9% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +3.3%. Expected value is +1.9%.

The current number is Green Bay Packers +3.0, while our projection has New England Patriots by 4.6. That gives New England Patriots a 1.6-point difference against the spread. We like New England Patriots to cover.

Our current read is UNDER 39.5. The Pick Club projects 38.9 combined points, 0.6 points below the market line. Our estimated chance is 52.0% versus 49.8% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +2.2%. Expected value is +0.2%.

The current number is Seattle Seahawks -8.5, while our projection has Seattle Seahawks by 4.8. That gives Arizona Cardinals a 3.7-point difference against the spread. We like Arizona Cardinals getting the points.

Our current read is OVER 47.5. The Pick Club projects 48.1 combined points, 0.6 points above the market line. Our estimated chance is 52.0% versus 48.9% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +3.1%. Expected value is +1.6%.

The current number is Chicago Bears -6.0, while our projection has Chicago Bears by 5.0. That gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 1.0-point difference against the spread. We like Tampa Bay Buccaneers getting the points.

Our current read is OVER 44.5. The Pick Club projects 45.2 combined points, 0.7 points above the market line. Our estimated chance is 52.2% versus 50.2% no-vig market probability. Probability edge is +2.0%. Expected value is -0.4%.

The current number is Buffalo Bills -3.0, while our projection has Buffalo Bills by 2.9. That gives Minnesota Vikings a 0.1-point difference against the spread. We like Minnesota Vikings getting the points.